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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mike Conley has made 60.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's made overall this year.
  • Mike Conley has sunk 50.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.
  • Mike Conley has played 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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