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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has sunk 3.4 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing away from home.

Mike Conley has played 29.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (36.9%).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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