Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 14, 2023

Updated Apr 14, 2023 6:56 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Mike Conley has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a tough one for threes; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 7th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (2.0).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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