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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mike Conley has converted 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made from three over the course of the season while on the road.
  • Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.2).
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production across the board.

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