Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 6:38 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.
When playing away from home, the Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Pelicans are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 7th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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