Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 8, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 5 games (27.0).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production across the board.