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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

The matchup against Brooklyn is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Nets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mike Conley has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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