Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (15.8).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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