Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this season when playing on the road.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Suns are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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