Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Knicks is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 foul shots per game this year (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (32.2%).
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.

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