Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 26th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.8).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
When playing at home, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.2 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the league).

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