Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (10.9).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (12th-least in the league).

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