Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs since the start of last season (21.3).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
While at home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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