Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for threes; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 24th-most 3-point shots per game in the league since the start of last season (2.3).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 foul shots per game over the last 11 games when the Clippers are at home (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.
The Clippers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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