Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a hard one for threes; opposing starting PGs have put up the 13th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (31.3%).
The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Timberwolves.

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