Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Mike Conley has successfully made 94.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 27.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-pointers; while on their home court, opposing squads have put up the 5th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.5%).
As a team, the Utah Jazz have been bad at drawing fouls without the home court advantage: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a lowly 21.3 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production across the board.