Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 92.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the net overall this season.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (which also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing teams have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (46.4%).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
Mike Conley has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a mere 25.8 foul shots per game this year on his home court (3rd-least in the league).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season away from home.

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