Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 46.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Mike Conley has attempted 5.0 threes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
Mike Conley will likely see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 29.3 rate, Mike Conley's playing time has tailed off this year to 23.9 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.8%).
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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