Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+200/-265).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 43.9% of his three-point attempts playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.9 more than he's played in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Mike Conley will likely get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
In regard to 3-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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