Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 7:06 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while at home.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
Mike Conley will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance across the board.

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 1.6 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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