Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +143 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 87th percentile for 3-point performance while at home with a an impressive 44.1% rate this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
With respect to threes, the Timberwolves's excellent 40.5% rate of made threes comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Mike Conley figures to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.8%).
The 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
On the road, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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