Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 92nd percentile for three-point prowess at home with a a great 46.9% rate this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
When playing on the road, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley stands to see a rise in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one for threes; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have put up the 11th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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