Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 2:18 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 89th percentile for three-point performance on his home court with a an excellent 45.8% rate this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a hard matchup.
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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