Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while playing away from home.
Mike Conley has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 8.6 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, resulting in a positive matchup.
Playing at home, the Clippers have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production for all stats.