Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -194 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 93rd percentile for three-point performance with the home court advantage with a an outstanding 47.8% rate this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 13th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.8%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).