Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 45.2% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.1).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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