Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 22nd-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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