Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 85th percentile for 3-point shots made on the road, totaling 2.2 per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the other team has brought down 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
Mike Conley figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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