Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley measures in the 85th percentile for 3-point ability when playing on the road with a a stellar 42.8% rate this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Sacramento Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 12.0 made threes per game settles in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 7th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (30.6%).
The 9th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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