Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 19, 2023

Updated Apr 20, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 50.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's converted overall this year away from his home court.
Mike Conley has played 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.6%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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