Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 3.4 treys per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing away from home.
Mike Conley has played 29.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (36.9%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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