Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Utah Jazz

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has attempted 5.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Mike Conley has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.3).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Mavericks is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (25.0%).
The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Jazz.
While on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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