Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2025

Updated May 28, 2025 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has posted 4.5 assists per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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