Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 4.1 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games: 85th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Mike Conley will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 10thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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