Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 3:50 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -166.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 4.9 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 91st percentile.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production across the board.

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