Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+126/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 5.7 assists per game since the start of last season on the road, ranking him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 94th percentile.
Mike Conley has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 23 games, the other team has collected 9.4 offensive boards per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (continuing possessions that can result in additional chances for offense).
Mike Conley should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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