Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Mike Conley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 28.9 minutes per game this year.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The 8th-slowest pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Mike Conley figures to suffer a reduction in production across the board considering being on the road in this contest.

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