Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
Mike Conley has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.

Favors Under

The 5th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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