Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley is expected to see a spike in efficiency across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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