Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 6.2 assists per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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