Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.0 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
Mike Conley stands to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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