Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.2 assists per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 5.1 higher than he's played in all games this year at home.
Mike Conley should see a spike in production in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league at home with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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