Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.2 assists per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 28.8 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pacers have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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