Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.4 assists per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent games.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.0 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have secured 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Mike Conley is expected to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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