Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 6.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders by this standard over this stretch: 96th percentile.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 5.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley stands to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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