Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.7 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while playing at home, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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