Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 6.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's hottest by this standard recently.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
The Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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