Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:17 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 6.0 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the NBA's hottest in this category over this stretch of games: 95th percentile.
This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have brought down 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

The 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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