Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has compiled 5.9 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent days: 95th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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