Mike Conley Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:49 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has compiled 7.1 assists per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).
Mike Conley will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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